Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 1.244283 1.519778 1.872068 2.368761 3.074225 4.080468 5.708707
2025-02-23 0.894842 1.203131 1.660533 2.437559 3.847432 6.632299 13.896935
2025-03-02 0.725778 1.039561 1.555239 2.563156 4.813889 10.982232 41.698041
2025-03-09 0.606213 0.905523 1.433048 2.575357 5.590469 16.872326 158.424125
2025-03-16 0.511594 0.785407 1.291029 2.467138 5.988570 23.304773 972.525163
2025-03-23 0.463279 0.733216 1.258702 2.588760 7.263335 42.056906 NaN
2025-03-30 0.417757 0.676084 1.199161 2.612844 8.295304 73.437639 NaN
2025-04-06 0.375042 0.616436 1.118958 2.543237 8.893139 118.968535 NaN
2025-04-13 0.341293 0.568827 1.054554 2.493458 9.594293 214.783509 NaN
2025-04-20 0.327657 0.558897 1.073905 2.721628 12.561080 1352.211697 NaN
2025-04-27 0.310877 0.539747 1.066522 2.859634 15.532120 271266.450899 NaN
2025-05-04 0.290055 0.509145 1.023888 2.847210 17.325838 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.267362 0.472478 0.960553 2.733225 17.936458 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.253950 0.454637 0.944112 2.812277 21.657530 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.244084 0.443387 0.943308 2.965135 28.085497 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.231269 0.423918 0.915697 2.979872 32.667539 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.216016 0.397316 0.863226 2.847073 33.129688 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.209141 0.389461 0.864255 2.996281 44.271453 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.200101 0.375554 0.844743 3.025901 53.167205 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.189496 0.356961 0.808081 2.940353 56.457839 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.180299 0.341020 0.777504 2.879299 61.359055 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.178071 0.341747 0.799465 3.160001 104.446685 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.173792 0.336983 0.802989 3.330818 163.462301 NaN NaN